TuringTrader's All-Stars Stocks
- Objective: aggressive growth
- Type: meta-portfolio
- Invests in: individual stocks, ETFs tracking stocks, bonds, and commodities
- Rebalancing schedule: weekly and 1x per month
- Taxation: 90% short-term capital gains
- Minimum account size: $50,000
TuringTrader’s All-Stars Stocks aims to continually outperform the S&P 500 at lower volatility and with significantly lower maximum drawdowns. The meta-portfolio achieves its objective by combining two high-powered momentum-based stock market strategies, resulting in additional diversification benefits. Further, All-Stars Stocks rebalances only five times per month, leading to moderate maintenance requirements. In summary, the portfolio appeals investors seeking aggressive growth.
The operation of All-Stars Stocks can be summarized as follows:
- divide capital into two equal-sized tranches
- allocate one tranche each to TuringTrader's Stocks on the Loose and Round Robin
- rebalance between tranches once per month
All-Stars Stocks diversifies across investment methodologies by combining two strategies. Even though both component strategies are momentum-based, this reduces volatility and broadens the portfolio's scope. Round Robin's approach of investing in broader market indices greatly complements Stocks on the Loose's stock-picking approach. As a result, the meta-strategy achieves higher risk-adjusted returns than its components.
In bullish periods, All-Stars Stocks invests up to 100% of its capital in the U.S. Stock Market. The portfolio decreases its stock-market exposure and shifts toward a mix of bonds when market volatility increases. During bear markets and recessions, All-Stars Stocks fully invests in assets with low correlation to the stock market.
All-Stars Stocks achieves its diversification benefits primarily through serial diversification. As a consequence, the portfolio has a tail risk similar to holding the S&P 500. However, the portfolio's beta of approximately 0.3 shows that portfolio performance is well decoupled from the markets. Further, backtests show that the portfolio has successfully handled a wide range of historical market scenarios.
Returns & Volatility
All-Stars Stocks beats the S&P 500 index in most years. Over the entire economic cycle, the portfolio delivers almost twice the return of its benchmark. Simultaneously, the portfolio shows lower measures in all risk metrics, including standard deviation of returns, absolute drawdown, and maximum flat days. For most metrics, All-Stars Stocks' risk profile is even lower than that of a passive 60/40 portfolio.
With these properties, All-Stars Stocks bridges the gap between aggressive returns and prudent risk management, making high returns available to more conventional investors.
Account & Tax Considerations
All-Stars Stocks trades frequently and regularly triggers taxable events. Investors should expect almost all capital gains to be short-term. Therefore, the strategy works best in tax-deferred accounts.
To allow for accurate position sizing, All-Stars Stocks requires an account size of no less than $50,000.
This table shows the portfolio's key performance metrics over the course of the simulation:
The following chart shows the portfolio's historical performance and drawdowns, compared to their benchmark, throughout the simulation:
Download as CSV
This chart shows the portfolio's annual returns:
The following charts show the Monte-Carlo simulation of returns and drawdowns, the portfolios 12-months rolling returns, and how the portfolio is tracking to its benchmark:
The portfolio last required rebalancing after the exchanges closed on . Due to fluctuations in asset prices, the exact allocations vary daily, even when no rebalancing occurred. The current asset allocation is as follows: